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It’s not if, but when, the coalition collapses
The German Chancellor is a controlled man, so the uncharacteristic anger on display as he announced he had sacked his finance minister and fixed a vote of confidence for January was telling.....Read Full Article>>
The fractures in Germany’s coalition government have been widening for months.
The ailing economy, dismal showing in the European parliamentary elections and rise of the far-right Alternative for Germany party (AfD) have led to growing questions about when the coalition will collapse, rather than if it will.
Germany’s general election is currently pencilled in for September 2025 but if Olaf Scholz loses the confidence vote on 15 January, then a snap election is likely to take place by the end of March.
Current polls put the party of the former Chancellor Angela Merkel, the Christian Democratic Union (CDU), in the lead followed by the AfD.
Using today’s numbers, the most likely scenario would be another coalition government potentially with the CDU, the social democrats and maybe even the Greens.
But all this is jumping ahead.
The hammer blow to the German government coalition on the day Donald Trump was re-elected is a coincidence but it’s also very bad timing.
The return of Trump raises questions around NATO, the war in Ukraine and possible trade wars in the future.
Europe now more than ever needs to be united; a task made more difficult when the leadership of its largest economic power is in crisis.
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