Political analyst Segun Sowunmi has projected that the 2027 presidential election will likely be a two-horse race between incumbent President Bola Tinubu and former Vice President Atiku Abubakar.
Speaking during an appearance on Arise Television’s Morning Show, Sowunmi suggested that while President Tinubu remains a formidable candidate, he faces potential vulnerabilities that could result in a “weak” performance in certain regions. Sowunmi, a veteran political strategist, offered a granular breakdown of how the electoral map might shift for the All Progressives Congress (APC) by 2027….See More
While predicting that Tinubu will maintain a strong hold on the Southwest and improve his standing in the Southeast and Northwest, Sowunmi argued that the President could face significant hurdles in Northern Nigeria.
“Where I expect the president to be weak is probably in the North,” Sowunmi stated. He pointed to shifting political alliances in states like Katsina and Kano as evidence that traditional voting blocs may not align as they did in previous cycles. He noted that the influence of local power brokers and the changing dynamics among influential political figures in these regions could complicate the APC’s path to victory.
Regarding the overall national outlook, Sowunmi emphasized that the contest would ultimately boil down to a direct confrontation between the two major political heavyweights. He dismissed the idea that the election is already decided, cautioning that internal party dynamics and the influence of regional stakeholders will play decisive roles.
“The election is between Tinubu and Atiku, no doubt about it,” Sowunmi insisted. He added that the performance of the incumbent administration will be closely tied to how successfully the President navigates these regional complexities, particularly in the Northcentral and Northeast zones.
As the political maneuvering for 2027 intensifies, Sowunmi’s analysis highlights the volatility of the current political environment, suggesting that the path to re-election for the President may be far more competitive than the 2023 electoral map might indicate….See More
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